PPI blew past CPI — wholesale prices up 1.3% in September, diesel at the center
BLS said Thursday that producer prices rose 1.3% in September — the biggest monthly gain since March 2022 — and 6.3% over the year, well above the 0.6% / 5.5% forecasts. Goods rose 2.6%, energy drove most of it, gasoline in the PPI basket jumped sharply, and BLS linked nearly half the rise in intermediate goods to diesel. Core PPI (ex food, energy and trade) rose 0.5% on the month, 5.0% on the year in one cut, 0.7% / 5.0% in the final-demand core cut — either way, hotter. Retail sales told the other half: headline +0.8% beat forecasts, but ex-gas and ex-autos-and-gas it was only +0.2%, statistically flat — the gain was fuel stations, not broad spending. Markets rotated instead of crashing: Dow +1.08% to 52,178, S&P 500 +0.33% to 7,744, Nasdaq +0.08%, while AI / chip names kept sliding on debt worries and the 10-year fell to 5.09%. FedWatch odds for an October hike sat in the high-20s to mid-30s depending on the snapshot, with a December hike now heavily priced. Sources: Transport Topics / AP · WSJ markets · Reuters retail sales via Northland · Investopedia.